Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 17, 2022 at 7pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 1
Benfica

Luis (25' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ramos (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Moreirense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 4-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, November 27 at 5pm in Taca da Liga

Benfica

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Penafiel
Saturday, November 26 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
15.6% ( 2.8)	21.89% ( 0.87)	62.51% ( -3.67)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

4.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09% (

1.92)

49.91% (

-1.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

1.69)

71.9% (

-1.69)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.39% (

5.34)

44.6% (

-5.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.38% (

4.01)

80.61% (

-4.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

-0.54)

15.41% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77% (

-1.02)

44.23% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 15.6%

Benfica 62.51%

Draw 21.88%

Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.78) 2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.3) Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.6%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.67) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 12.85% ( -1.3) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( -1.46) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 7.49% ( -1.08) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.58) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.38) 0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.16) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 62.51%