Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio José Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
2 - 3
Benfica

Silva (22'), Rodrigues (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Musa (13'), Chiquinho (29' pen.), Draxler (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Taca da Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Penafiel
Sunday, August 1 at 11am in Taca da Liga

Benfica

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.95%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 5.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.83%) and 0-1 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Benfica
5.37% ( -0.05)	12.68% ( -0)	81.95% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 38.15% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

-0.23)

39.1% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

-0.25)

61.42% (

0.24)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.15% (

-0.32)

58.84% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.95% (

-0.17)

90.04% (

0.16)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.7% (

-0.04)

7.3% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.59% (

-0.11)

26.41% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 5.37%

Benfica 81.94%

Draw 12.68%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 5.37%	1-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 12.68%	0-2 @ 14.71% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 12.83% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 4.4% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 81.94%