Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.