Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 35.45% ( | 27.58% ( | 36.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% ( | 56.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( | 77.65% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( | 30.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( | 66.63% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.96% |