Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
47.54% ( 0.1) | 26.87% ( -0.05) | 25.6% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.95% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.65% ( 0.12) | 57.35% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.82% ( 0.09) | 78.18% ( -0.1) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( 0.1) | 24.16% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( 0.14) | 58.48% ( -0.15) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% ( 0.01) | 38.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% ( 0.01) | 74.86% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 47.53% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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