Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 29, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Costa (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Arouca
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Santa Clara
47.54% ( 0.1)	26.87% ( -0.05)	25.6% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.95% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.65% (

0.12)

57.35% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.82% (

0.09)

78.18% (

-0.1)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

0.1)

24.16% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

0.14)

58.48% (

-0.15)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.91% (

0.01)

38.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.14% (

0.01)

74.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 47.53%

Santa Clara 25.6%

Draw 26.86%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 47.53%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.6%