Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal José dos Santos Pinto
Gil Vicente logo

Sporting Covilha
2 - 2
Gil Vicente

Vilanculos (65'), Cornelio (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Navarro (17' pen.), Alipour (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Sporting Covilha and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Covilha

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Sporting Covilha
Wednesday, December 15 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 0-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sporting CovilhaDrawGil Vicente
20.22% (0.111 0.11)21.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)58.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.11% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)39.89% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.75% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)62.25% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (0.089000000000013 0.09)33.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (0.096999999999998 0.1)69.93% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)13.38% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (-0.112 -0.11)40.29% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Covilha 20.22%
    Gil Vicente 58.48%
    Draw 21.3%
Sporting CovilhaDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 5.42% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.22%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.3%
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 58.48%

How you voted: Sporting Covilha vs Gil Vicente

Sporting Covilha
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Gil Vicente
23.1%
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