Gil Vicente logo
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Nacional

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Nacional

Carvalho (4'), Cunha (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Gil Vicente and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 2-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 20 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawNacional
50.33% (0.187 0.19)24.96% (0.021999999999998 0.02)24.71% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)50.79% (0.262 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (-0.23 -0.23)72.68% (0.232 0.23)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)20.19% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)52.49% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73% (-0.31800000000001 -0.32)35.27% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (-0.337 -0.34)72.03% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 50.33%
    Nacional 24.71%
    Draw 24.96%
Gil VicenteDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2021 8.30pm
Gil Vicente
2-0
Nacional
Marques (55'), Lino (71')
Afonso (44'), Nogueira (61')
Afonso (86')

Ramos (28'), Rochez (37'), Riascos (90+2')
Cesar (83')
Nov 8, 2020 3pm
Nacional
2-1
Gil Vicente
Camacho (57'), Rochez (90+3')
Thill (45+1')
Sam (45+5')
Leautey (49'), Goncalves (68'), Nogueira (82'), Mineiro (90+4')