Porto
Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Dec 21, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Gil Vicente logo

Porto
2 - 0
Gil Vicente

Galeno (3'), Taremi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 4-0 Vizela
Friday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawGil Vicente
69.62%17.12%13.26%
Both teams to score 57.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.77%33.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.01%54.99%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.41%8.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.32%29.68%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63%37.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84%74.15%
Score Analysis
    Porto 69.62%
    Gil Vicente 13.26%
    Draw 17.12%
PortoDrawGil Vicente
2-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 7.91%
1-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 7.79%
4-0 @ 4.86%
4-1 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.83%
5-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 2.35%
5-1 @ 2.35%
5-2 @ 1.15%
6-0 @ 0.98%
6-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 69.62%
1-1 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 3.21%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.12%
1-2 @ 3.82%
0-1 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.54%
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 13.26%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group A vs Gil Vicente

1st ranked Group A
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Feb 27, 2022 8.30pm
Sep 24, 2021 9.15pm
Gil Vicente
1-2
Porto
Lino (24')
Carvalho (66'), Leautey (81'), Bueno (87'), Navarro (87'), Cunha (90')
Taremi (9'), Oliveira (89')
Mbemba (22'), Vieira (50'), Wendell (87'), Otavio (90+1')
Mar 6, 2021 6pm
Jan 29, 2021 8.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Gil Vicente
0-2
Porto

Sam (29'), Goncalves (43'), Mineiro (90+3')
Corona (10'), Taremi (88')
Grujic (80')
rhs 2.0


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