Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 16, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
4 - 0
Vizela

Martinez (1'), Galeno (48'), Wendell (58'), Taremi (67' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Porto
Thursday, December 8 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Vizela
Monday, December 5 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vizela
63.32% ( -0.13)	20.12% ( 0.07)	16.56% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.54% (

-0.17)

40.46% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.16% (

-0.17)

62.83% (

0.17)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.84% (

-0.09)

12.16% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.22% (

-0.18)

37.78% (

0.18)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.37% (

-0.02)

37.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.59% (

-0.01)

74.41% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Porto 63.31%

Vizela 16.57%

Draw 20.12%

Porto	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 63.31%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.12%	1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.57%