Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
2 - 2
Mafra

Pepe (48'), Martinez (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Fati (16'), Ferreira (42' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Mafra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Porto
Saturday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mafra

All competitions

Last Game: Mafra 0-3 Porto
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Mafra
78.66% ( -0.28)	14.03% ( 0.17)	7.31% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 44.73% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

-0.38)

37.12% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69% (

-0.42)

59.32% (

0.42)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.43% (

-0.14)

7.57% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.89% (

-0.38)

27.11% (

0.38)

Mafra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.39% (

0.02)

51.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.26% (

0.02)

85.75% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Porto 78.65%

Mafra 7.31%

Draw 14.03%

Porto	Draw	Mafra
2-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.47% Total : 78.65%	1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 14.03%	0-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 7.31%