Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 12, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
1 - 4
Porto

Costa (90+1' og.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marcano (41'), Eustaquio (64'), Galeno (83', 90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, November 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Mafra 0-3 Porto
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Porto
12.49% ( -0.46)	18.87% ( -0.03)	68.64% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 48.29% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

-1.01)

43.63% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

-1)

66.03% (

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.65% (

-1.39)

45.35% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.79% (

-1.12)

81.21% (

1.11)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36% (

-0.16)

11.64% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.33% (

-0.34)

36.66% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Boavista 12.49%

Porto 68.63%

Draw 18.87%

Boavista	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.49%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.87%	0-2 @ 12.2% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 8.75% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 4.71% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.14) 0-5 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.48% Total : 68.63%