Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 42.39% ( | 28.56% ( | 29.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.53% ( | 61.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.66% ( | 81.34% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( | 28.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( | 64.51% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( | 37.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( | 74.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.05% |