Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.