Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 23, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Boavista

Silva (20' pen.), Janvier (87'), Amaro (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sasso (45+3'), Agra (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Boavista
42.62% ( -1.14)	27.67% ( 0.12)	29.71% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 47.31% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.82% (

-0.04)

58.18% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16% (

-0.03)

78.83% (

0.03)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-0.62)

27% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

-0.81)

62.35% (

0.81)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81% (

0.77)

35.18% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

0.8)

71.93% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.61%

Boavista 29.71%

Draw 27.67%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.61%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.71%