Mafra
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
 
Porto

Mafra
0 - 3
Porto

FT(HT: 0-2)
Marcano (7'), Eustaquio (38'), Galeno (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Mafra and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Tondela
Wednesday, April 20 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
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Last Game: Porto 4-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, November 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 0-3 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Mafra win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
MafraDrawPorto
8.74%15.89%75.37%
Both teams to score 44.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14%40.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75%63.25%
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.3%50.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.86%85.14%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.8%9.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.86%31.13%
Score Analysis
    Mafra 8.74%
    Porto 75.36%
    Draw 15.89%
MafraDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.17%
2-1 @ 2.57%
2-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 8.74%
1-1 @ 7.56%
0-0 @ 4.66%
2-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 15.89%
0-2 @ 13.27%
0-1 @ 11.12%
0-3 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 9.02%
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-4 @ 6.3%
1-4 @ 4.28%
0-5 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-5 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-6 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 75.36%

How you voted: Mafra vs Porto

Mafra
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Porto
100%
5