Chaves
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 8, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Porto

Chaves
0 - 2
Porto

FT(HT: 0-0)
Loader (55', 59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca da Liga clash between Chaves and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Chaves
Tuesday, November 22 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Porto

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-2 Mafra
Friday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
ChavesDrawPorto
18.27% (0.821 0.82)23.31% (0.335 0.34)58.42% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 47.89% (0.501 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (-0.12 -0.12)51.35% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.104 -0.1)73.17% (0.113 0.11)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.916 0.92)42.09% (-0.90799999999999 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.783 0.78)78.51% (-0.774 -0.77)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (-0.444 -0.44)17.3% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (-0.792 -0.79)47.66% (0.799 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 18.27%
    Porto 58.41%
    Draw 23.31%
ChavesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 6.3% (0.187 0.19)
2-1 @ 4.78% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.73% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 18.27%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 12.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 11.2% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 6.55% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.87% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.41%

How you voted: Chaves vs Porto

Chaves
18.2%
Draw
15.9%
Porto
65.9%
44
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Chaves
Taremi (3'), Evanilson (70'), Franco (82')

Guimaraes (28')
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Chaves
1-4
Porto
Gallo (76' pen.)
Singh (59')
Tiquinho (24', 42', 68'), Coelho (87' og.)
Tiquinho (35'), Corona (61')
Aug 11, 2018 9pm
Porto
5-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (14', 20'), Brahimi (45'), Corona (71'), Mouandilmadji (88')

Eustaquio (50'), Martins (58')
Teixeira (80')
Feb 11, 2018 4pm
Chaves
0-4
Porto

Pereira (21'), Bressan (45')
Tiquinho (14', 28'), Marega (57'), Oliveira (91')
Otavinho (49'), Pereira (56'), Corona (65'), Majeed Waris (65')
Sep 9, 2017 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (49'), Soares (86'), Marega (89')
Torres (53')

Djavan (64'), Paulinho (75'), Ricardo (90')
rhs 2.0


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