Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Trofense
1 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Maiga (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thomas (57')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Trofense and Pacos de Ferreira.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Braga 3-0 Trofense
Saturday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Trofense win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
TrofenseDrawPacos de Ferreira
25.06% (2.251 2.25)26.47% (0.706 0.71)48.47% (-2.957 -2.96)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69% (-0.802 -0.8)56.3% (0.802 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66% (-0.652 -0.65)77.34% (0.652 0.65)
Trofense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (1.644 1.64)37.99% (-1.643 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (1.554 1.55)74.76% (-1.555 -1.56)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-1.645 -1.65)23.28% (1.645 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-2.456 -2.46)57.2% (2.455 2.46)
Score Analysis
    Trofense 25.06%
    Pacos de Ferreira 48.47%
    Draw 26.47%
TrofenseDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.624 0.62)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.416 0.42)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.47 0.47)
3-1 @ 1.95% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 25.06%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 12.89% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 9.4% (-0.644 -0.64)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.57% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.47%

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