Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.