Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Nacional

Belenenses
2 - 3
Boavista

Pacheco (20'), Saramago (24')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mangas (37'), Gorre (50'), Lourenco (58')

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Belenenses and Boavista.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belenenses

All competitions

Last Game: Belenenses 4-0 Machico
Thursday, November 10 at 11am in Taca de Portugal

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Porto
Saturday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Boavista
26.62% ( 0.5)	26.01% ( -0.35)	47.36% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 50.2% (

1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

1.65)

53.54% (

-1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

1.38)

75.05% (

-1.38)

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.86% (

1.31)

35.14% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.11% (

1.35)

71.89% (

-1.35)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

0.63)

22.6% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79% (

0.94)

56.21% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Belenenses 26.62%

Boavista 47.36%

Draw 26.01%

Belenenses	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.62%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.36%