MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 11:14:35| >> :60:44:44:
Belenenses
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 10, 2022 at 11am UK
Estádio Nacional

Belenenses
4 - 0
Machico

Jefferson (2'), Lopes (17'), Coxixo (23' pen.), Boni (55')
FT(HT: 3-0)

(85')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Belenenses and Machico.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belenenses

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Machico

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Machico had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Machico win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.

Result
BelenensesDrawMachico
55.16% (0.632 0.63) 21.97% (-0.4 -0.4) 22.87% (-0.235 -0.23)
Both teams to score 59.38% (1.096 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44% (1.586 1.59)39.56% (-1.59 -1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.09% (1.634 1.63)61.9% (-1.639 -1.64)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.74900000000001 0.75)14.29% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.89% (1.444 1.44)42.1% (-1.447 -1.45)
Machico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (0.67700000000001 0.68)30.7% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.79199999999999 0.79)66.96% (-0.79600000000001 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 55.16%
    Machico 22.87%
    Draw 21.97%
BelenensesDrawMachico
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.407 -0.41)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.163 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.158 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.125 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.092 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.87%

How you voted: Belenenses vs Machico

Belenenses
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Machico
11.1%
9
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Belenenses
rhs 2.0
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