Braga
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 11, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Braga
3 - 2
Guimaraes

Ruiz (80', 85'), Oliveira (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Silva (16'), Silva (45+6')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-4 Braga
Thursday, January 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
56.24% (0.586 0.59)23.97% (-0.105 -0.11)19.78% (-0.483 -0.48)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)51.91% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34% (-0.156 -0.16)73.66% (0.154 0.15)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.154 0.15)18.3% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (0.26 0.26)49.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (-0.626 -0.63)40.69% (0.623 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.565 -0.57)77.28% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Braga 56.23%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 19.78%
    Draw 23.97%
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 56.23%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 19.78%

How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes

Braga
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3.30pm
Braga
1-0
Guimaraes
Tormena (90+8')
Elmusrati (45+1'), Silva (90+1')

Amaro (2'), Freitas (18'), Fernandes (23'), Varela (59'), Lameiras (90+1'), Silva (90+1'), Safira (90+6')
Feb 5, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Estupinan (18'), Luz (90')
Silva (3'), Estupinan (29'), Handel (43'), Fernandes (45')
Semedo (58')
Oliveira (48')
Rodrigues (20')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Braga
0-0
Guimaraes

Silva (32'), Elmusrati (37')

Almeida (24'), Rochinha (27'), Soares (52'), Trmal (85'), Mumin (90+2')
Mar 9, 2021 9.45pm
Braga
3-0
Guimaraes
Piazon (5'), Ruiz (40'), Sporar (85')
Piazon (42')

Ouattara (2'), Andre (59')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2020 8pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Braga

Andre (26'), Rochinha (73'), Suliman (83')
Fernandes (83')
Esgaio (27')
Paulinho (55'), Castro (67')
Carmo (82'), Fransergio (86')
rhs 2.0


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