Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
50.06% ( 0.48) | 26.53% ( -0.14) | 23.42% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.3% ( 0.22) | 57.7% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% ( 0.17) | 78.46% ( -0.18) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.31) | 23.15% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( 0.46) | 57.03% ( -0.46) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.71% ( -0.2) | 40.29% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.08% ( -0.18) | 76.92% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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