Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 29.66% ( | 26.96% ( | 43.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( | 55.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( | 76.76% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( | 33.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( | 70.52% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( | 25.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.77% ( | 60.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.37% |