Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.