Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.66% ( 0.69) | 26.96% ( -0.05) | 43.38% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( 0.47) | 55.6% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( 0.38) | 76.76% ( -0.38) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% ( 0.77) | 33.85% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% ( 0.83) | 70.52% ( -0.83) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( -0.11) | 25.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% ( -0.15) | 60.23% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |