Vitoria de Guimaraes
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Belenenses

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Belenenses

Silva (14'), Silva (36')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Henriques (29'), Teixeira (45')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Belenenses.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Vilafranquense 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, November 19 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Belenenses

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 2-3 Boavista
Friday, November 18 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBelenenses
50.56% (0.272 0.27)26.06% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)23.38% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.1% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.17% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.121 0.12)22.25% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (0.17899999999999 0.18)55.69% (-0.176 -0.18)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (-0.205 -0.2)39.42% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (-0.192 -0.19)76.12% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.56%
    Belenenses 23.38%
    Draw 26.06%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 50.56%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.38%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Belenenses

Vitoria de Guimaraes
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Belenenses
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 6pm
Belenenses
1-0
Guimaraes
Safira (50')
Carraca (34'), Felipe (80'), Lukovic (83'), Nuno (88'), Akas (90'), Sousa (90+4')

Borevkovic (9'), Handel (20'), Luz (90+3'), Quaresma (90+3')
Sep 12, 2021 8.30pm
Guimaraes
0-0
Belenenses

Estupinan (36'), Borevkovic (51'), Andre (90+5'), Janvier (90+9')
Semedo (11'), Borevkovic (60')

Sousa (72'), Safira (90+2'), Nuno (90+13'), Camara (90+15')
Feb 8, 2021 9pm
Belenenses
1-1
Guimaraes
Cassierra (30')
Silva (12'), Lima (37'), Henrique (64')
Estupinan (41')
Sacko (23'), Mensah (25')
Sep 18, 2020 9.15pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Belenenses

Andre (65')
Phete (47')
Henrique (44'), Caue (51'), Cardoso (58'), Taira (74')
Jun 11, 2020 7pm
Belenenses
1-1
Guimaraes
Sacko (29' og.)
Coelho (73'), Matias (89')
Carlos Teixeira (39')
Sacko (65')