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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Maritimo

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Maritimo

Silva (70')
Johnston (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (78'), Brito (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Vizela
Wednesday, November 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Maritimo 0-0 Famalicao
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Maritimo

While Maritimo will be looking to continue in their new-form form, they face a Vitoria de Guimaraes side whose home ground has been a fortress over the past few months. We predict that Moreno's side will extend their dominance over the visitors and claim all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMaritimo
57.46% (0.064 0.06) 24.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 18.47% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.08% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.133 0.13)53.95% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (0.112 0.11)75.4% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.073999999999998 0.07)18.61% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.126 0.13)49.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.62% (0.052999999999997 0.05)43.37% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.39% (0.042999999999999 0.04)79.6% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.45%
    Maritimo 18.47%
    Draw 24.06%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.47%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Maritimo

Vitoria de Guimaraes
100%
Draw
0.0%
Maritimo
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
0-1
Guimaraes

Costa (58'), Beltrame (61')
Janvier (82')
Silva (58'), Maga (72'), Quaresma (89')
Oct 22, 2021 8.15pm
May 16, 2021 8pm
Maritimo
0-0
Guimaraes

Rene (17'), Correa (35'), Joel (65'), Pelagio (70')

Mensah (35'), Sacko (43')
Jan 31, 2021 3pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Maritimo
Estupinan (48')
Mumin (41'), Suliman (90+3')

Rene (10'), Hermes (82')
Jul 19, 2020 9.15pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Maritimo
Edwards (24')
Venancio (44'), Poha (64')

China (54'), Pelagio (65'), Rene (71'), Nanu (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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