Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 12, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Rio Ave

Arouca
0 - 1
Rio Ave

FT(HT: 0-0)
Yakubu (59' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-4 Arouca
Tuesday, November 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, November 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawRio Ave
34.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)27.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)37.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.04% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (0.062000000000005 0.06)57.92% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (0.048999999999999 0.05)78.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)31.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.055 0.05)68.08% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)65.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 34.48%
    Rio Ave 37.61%
    Draw 27.9%
AroucaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.61%

How you voted: Arouca vs Rio Ave

Arouca
100%
Draw
0.0%
Rio Ave
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2021 5pm
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave

Othavio Basso (37')
Othavio Basso (42')
Aderlan (38')
Gomes (23'), Gomes (40'), Manuel (50'), Ukra (90+5')
Apr 21, 2017 8.30pm
Rio Ave
3-0
Arouca
Jubal (42' og.), Krovinovic (45'), Tarantini (57')
Guedes (38'), Dias (70'), Marcelo (79'), Krovinovic (83')

Velasquez (38'), Bastos (68'), Tomane (82')
Dec 12, 2016 8pm
Arouca
0-2
Rio Ave

Bracali (90')
Bernardes (75')
Nelsinho (89' og.), Ronan (94')
Apr 16, 2016 4.15pm
Arouca
0-0
Rio Ave

Adilson (22'), Gege (52'), Bernardes (66')

Roderick (13'), dos Santos Ferreira (50'), Novais (57'), Tarantini (81')
Dec 12, 2015 4.15pm
Rio Ave
3-1
Arouca
Gege (1' og.), Marcelo (57'), Novais (79')
Marcelo (30'), Lionn (37'), Novais (49')
Velazquez (71')
Adilson (15'), Gege (24'), Valente (84'), Velazquez (92')
Gege (31')
> Match Report