Rio Ave
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 7, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Inacio (62'), Boateng (73' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Rio Ave
Thursday, December 1 at 5pm in Taca da Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-0 Farense
Wednesday, November 30 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
20.92% (0.004999999999999 0)23.89% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (0.032000000000004 0.03)50.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (0.029 0.03)72.19% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (0.024999999999999 0.02)38.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.022000000000002 0.02)75.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (0.020000000000003 0.02)48.99% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 20.92%
    Sporting Lisbon 55.19%
    Draw 23.89%
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.17%
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.92%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 5.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.19%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
20.0%
Draw
16.3%
Sporting Lisbon
63.8%
80
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Rio Ave
Goncalves (36', 75'), Nunes (67')
Ugarte (61')

Ferreira (64'), Oudrhiri (83')
May 5, 2021 9.15pm
Rio Ave
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Augusto (23'), Aderlan (38'), Coentrao (65'), Brandao (90+4')
Tarantini (62')
Goncalves (34' pen.), Paulinho (63')
Mendes (26'), Feddal (42'), Palhinha (74'), Neto (90+3'), Coates (90+4')
Jan 15, 2021 6.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Rio Ave
Goncalves (42')
Plata (7'), Mario (24'), Tabata (87')
Gelson (61')
Amaral (15'), Coentrao (25'), Tarantini (69'), Gabrielzinho (69'), Rodrigues (83'), Pereira (90+4')
Feb 15, 2020 8.30pm
Rio Ave
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Piazon (2')
Borevkovic (41'), Santos (67'), Taremi (90')
Cabral (84' pen.)
Coates (49'), Neto (77')
Coates (71')
Aug 31, 2019 7pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-3
Rio Ave
Fernandes (20'), Phellype (53')
Coates (4')
Coates (89')
Augusto (6' pen., 92'), Jeronimo (86' pen.)
Augusto (18'), Reis (57')