Taca da Liga
Dec 7, 2022 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 62'
  • goal Emmanuel Boateng 73' (OG)

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Dec 1, 2022 5.00pm
Maritimo 0 - 1 Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Nov 30, 2022 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 6 - 0 Farense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Rio Ave 20.92% (+0.01)
Draw 23.89% (-0.01)
Sporting Lisbon 55.19% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.36% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.76% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.23% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.81% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.19% (-0.03)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 61.46% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.53% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24.72% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.28% (-0.03)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 81.93% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.07% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.01% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.99% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 20.92%
Draw 23.89%
Sporting Lisbon 55.19%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.17%
3-1 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.89%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 11.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.81% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.19%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 36' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 61' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 67' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 75' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 64'
  • yellowcard Amine Oudrhiri 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
May 5, 2021 9.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Filipe Augusto 23' yellowcard
  • Aderlan 38' yellowcard
  • Tarantini 62' redcard
  • Fabio Coentrao 65' yellowcard
  • Junior Brandao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 26'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 34'
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 42'
  • goal Paulinho 63'
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 74'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Jan 15, 2021 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gonzalo Plata 7' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 24' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 42' goal
  • Bruno Tabata 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Amaral 15'
  • yellowcard Fabio Coentrao 25'
  • goal Gelson 61'
  • yellowcard Tarantini 69'
  • yellowcard Gabrielzinho 69'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Rodrigues 83'
  • yellowcard Andre Pereira 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 15, 2020 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio dos Arcos
  • Lucas Piazon 2' goal
  • Toni Borevkovic 41' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 67' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 49'
  • redcard Sebastian Coates 71'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 77'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2019 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
  • Sebastian Coates 4' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 20' goal
  • Luiz Phellype 53' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 89' redcard
  • goal Filipe Augusto 6'
  • yellowcard Filipe Augusto 18'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 57'
  • goal Ronan Jeronimo 86'
  • goal Filipe Augusto 92'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2019 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
  • Luiz Phellype 12' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 36' goal
  • Wendel 54' goal