Taca da Liga
Nov 30, 2022 8.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Paulinho 20' goal
  • Paulinho 22' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 39' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 48' goal
  • Arthur 75' goal
  • Mateus Fernandes 85' goal

Sporting Lisbon vs SC Farense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

SC Farense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 62.91% (-0.03)
Draw 20.57% (+0.01)
SC Farense 16.51% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.08% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.35% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.94% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.05% (-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 87.05% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.95% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 60.59% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.41% (+0.02)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5 60.97% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.03% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24.25% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.75% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 62.9%
Draw 20.57%
SC Farense 16.51%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 62.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.57%
SC Farense
0-1 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.51%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 16, 2021 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryan Gauld 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 35'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 40'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Dec 19, 2020 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tiago Tomas 26' yellowcard
  • Joao Palhinha 41' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 68' yellowcard
  • Andraz Sporar 90'+1' goal
  • Nuno Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Defendi 36'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Isidoro 43'
  • yellowcard Fabio Nunes 75'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Mancha 83'
  • redcard Rafael Defendi 86'