Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
6 - 0
Farense

Paulinho (20', 22'), Edwards (39'), Goncalves (48'), Arthur (75'), Fernandes (85' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Leixoes 3-1 Farense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	SC Farense
62.91% ( -0.03)	20.57% ( 0.01)	16.51% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.35% (

0.01)

42.65% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.94% (

0.01)

65.05% (

-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

-0)

12.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.59% (

-0.01)

39.41% (

0.01)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97% (

0.03)

39.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25% (

0.03)

75.75% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 62.9%

SC Farense 16.51%

Draw 20.57%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.25% Total : 62.9%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.57%	0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.51%