Leixoes
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio do Mar
Farense logo

Leixoes
3 - 1
Farense

Oliveira (30'), Valente (33', 53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Falcao (83')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Leixoes and SC Farense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leixoes

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-1 Leixoes
Monday, July 26 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Wolves
Sunday, July 31 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
LeixoesDrawSC Farense
16.65% (-0.315 -0.32)21.44% (-0.26 -0.26)61.91% (0.574 0.57)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (0.572 0.57)46.22% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.49% (0.538 0.54)68.51% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)
Leixoes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)41.02% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.044 -0.04)77.57% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.36799999999999 0.37)14.38% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.73% (0.71 0.71)42.27% (-0.712 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Leixoes 16.65%
    SC Farense 61.9%
    Draw 21.44%
LeixoesDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 5.26% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 16.65%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 11.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.17% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 6.39% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 3.48% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.036 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.35% (0.055 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 61.9%