Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
| 46.01% ( | 27.03% ( | 26.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.9% ( | 57.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( | 77.98% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( | 24.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( | 59.37% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( | 36.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( | 73.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.97% |