Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Maritimo
45.92% ( 0.37)	25.68% ( 0.05)	28.4% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

-0.42)

51.17% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

-0.37)

73.02% (

0.37)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0.01)

22.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3% (

-0.01)

55.7% (

0.01)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.53)

32.49% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

-0.6)

69.01% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 45.92%

Maritimo 28.4%

Draw 25.68%

SC Farense	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.92%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.4%