Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Maritimo

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Maritimo

Paulinho (1', 15', 31'), Porro (73'), Silva (86' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, December 7 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Maritimo

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Maritimo
Wednesday, December 7 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 12.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawMaritimo
69.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)18.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)12.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)41.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)64.21% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)35.13% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46% (0.004999999999999 0)80.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 69.36%
    Maritimo 12.28%
    Draw 18.36%
Sporting LisbonDrawMaritimo
2-0 @ 11.92%
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 69.36%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.36%
0-1 @ 3.94% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 3.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 12.28%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo

Sporting Lisbon
89.3%
Draw
10.7%
Maritimo
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Maritimo
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Xadas (5')
Xadas (33'), Costa (52'), Costa (90')
Slimani (38')
Slimani (89'), Vinagre (90+1')
Sep 24, 2021 7pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Maritimo
Porro (90+8' pen.)
Feddal (56'), Neto (60'), Coates (77'), Esgaio (90+2')

China (28'), Victor (56'), Rossi (73'), Pelagio (81'), Mendes (90+3')
Victor (90+4')
May 19, 2021 9.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Maritimo
Goncalves (7', 20', 62'), Karo (21' og.), Plata (75')
Nunes (28'), Coates (46'), Tomas (79')
Beltrame (89')
Jean (65')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Morais (30'), Rene (83')
Goncalves (9', 57')
Pereira (90+3')
Jan 27, 2020 9pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Maritimo
Borja (76')
Neto (28'), Fernandes (82')

Bebeto (51'), Rene (89'), Costa (94')
rhs 2.0


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