Rio Ave
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Farense logo

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Farense

Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muscat (62')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Rio Ave and SC Farense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, December 7 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

SC Farense

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Maritimo
Wednesday, December 7 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
41.14% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)33.28%
Both teams to score 55.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.89% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)57.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 41.14%
    SC Farense 33.28%
    Draw 25.58%
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.38%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Farense

Rio Ave
64.7%
Draw
29.4%
SC Farense
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
Farense
0-1
Rio Ave

Falcao (42'), Isidoro (63'), Mansilla (79'), Oudrhiri (83')
Mane (20')
Augusto (25'), Jeronimo (32'), Borevkovic (46'), Diego (79'), Pele (79'), Amaral (84')