Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 4.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.85%) and 1-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.29%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.