Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 29, 2022 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Porro (3'), Santos (22'), Paulinho (44')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, December 11 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 4.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.85%) and 1-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.29%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
84.11% ( 0.12)	11.14% ( -0.06)	4.75% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 39.85% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.72% (

-0.01)

34.28% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.81% (

-0.01)

56.18% (

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.12% (

0.02)

5.88% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.46% (

0.06)

22.54% (

-0.07)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.34% (

-0.23)

57.66% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.59% (

-0.13)

89.41% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 84.1%

Pacos de Ferreira 4.75%

Draw 11.14%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 84.1%	1-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.39% 2-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.14%	0-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 4.75%