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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Chaves

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Chaves

Uilton (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Juninho (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Famalicao
Friday, December 30 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawChaves
41.7% (0.387 0.39)26.64% (-0.397 -0.4)31.65% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 51.16% (1.217 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (1.549 1.55)53.66% (-1.554 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (1.29 1.29)75.15% (-1.297 -1.3)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (0.91200000000001 0.91)25.4% (-0.918 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (1.235 1.24)60.21% (-1.24 -1.24)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.797 0.8)31.41% (-0.804 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (0.911 0.91)67.78% (-0.91699999999999 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 41.7%
    Chaves 31.65%
    Draw 26.64%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.499 -0.5)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.65%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Chaves

Pacos de Ferreira
39.1%
Draw
13.0%
Chaves
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2018 4pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-0
Chaves
Phellype (28'), Mabil (54')
Gois (69')
Nov 5, 2017 4pm
Chaves
4-2
Pacos de Ferreira
Maras (34'), Platiny (49', 68'), Jorginho (84')
Tiba (35'), Patrao (61'), Platiny (78')
Welthon (6'), Gois (70')
da Silva (76'), Gois (86')
Mar 31, 2017 7pm
Chaves
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Gege (41' og.)
Ponck (81'), Nunes (91')

Melo (15'), dos Santos (76'), Rodrigues (87')
Nov 5, 2016 4pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Chaves
Pedrinho (80')
Joao Costa Baixinho (15'), Da Silva (84')
Battaglia (55')
Martins (48'), Battaglia (66')