Taca da Liga
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fmaflog.png)
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Jo
84'
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Diogo Almeida
64'
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Diogo Almeida
77'
Chaves vs Mafra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result
Chaves
54.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
23.43%
Mafra
22.36%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
53.77%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.32%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
46.68%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
31.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
68.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
82.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
52.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
47.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5
64.88%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
35.12%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
28.13%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
71.87%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Chaves
54.21%
Draw
23.42%
Mafra
22.36%
Chaves
1-0
@
10.61%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.21%
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.21%
Draw
1-1
@
11.1%
0-0 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.42%
0-0 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.42%
Mafra
0-1
@
6.29%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 22.36%