Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Feb 1, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Braga

Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Porto
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
47.51% ( -0.09)	24.94% ( -0.02)	27.55% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.25% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

0.16)

48.58% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

0.15)

70.7% (

-0.15)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

0.02)

20.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

0.04)

52.97% (

-0.04)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

0.17)

31.77% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

0.19)

68.2% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 47.5%

Braga 27.55%

Draw 24.93%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55%