Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Hidemasa Morita 9' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 46' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 61' goal
  • Matheus Reis 86' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 90'+3' goal

Sporting Lisbon vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2023 9.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Vizela
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Pedro Goncalves

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 47.51% (-0.10)
Draw 24.94% (-0.03)
Braga 27.55% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.25% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.42% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 48.58% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 29.29% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 70.7% (-0.15)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 79.51% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 20.49% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 47.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.97% (-0.04)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 68.23% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 31.77% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 31.8% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 68.2% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 47.5%
Draw 24.93%
Braga 27.55%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.93%
Braga
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.78% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Goncalo Inacio 4' goal
  • Paulinho 7' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 20' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 41' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 45'+4' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Simon Banza 14' goal
  • Sikou Niakate 22' yellowcard
  • Ali Elmusrati 24' yellowcard
  • Sikou Niakate 45'+1' goal
  • Abel Ruiz 88' goal
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 9'
  • goal Nuno Santos 18'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 68'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 74'
  • goal Marcus Edwards 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pedro Goncalves 24' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 45' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 51' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Galeno 52'
  • yellowcard Andre Castro 57'
  • yellowcard Abel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • goal Jean-Baptiste Gorby 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hornicek 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 90'+9'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Raul Silva 22' yellowcard
  • Fransergio 37' yellowcard
  • Galeno 69' yellowcard
  • Abel Ruiz 90'+2' goal
  • goal Jovane Cabral 40'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 50'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 57'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 70'
  • redcard Matheus Reis 80'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 90'+4'
Portuguese Super Cup
Jul 31, 2021 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Aveiro
  • Joao Palhinha 17' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 29' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 43' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 44' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 49' yellowcard
  • goal Fransergio 20'
  • yellowcard Fransergio 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vitor Tormena 62'
  • yellowcard Nuno Sequeira 87'
  • yellowcard Joao Novais 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 25, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fransergio 17' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gaitan 64' yellowcard
  • Andre Horta 78' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Esgaio 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 10'
  • redcard Goncalo Inacio 18'
  • yellowcard Tiago Tomas 77'
  • goal Matheus Nunes 81'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 90'+6'