Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 20, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Vizela

Goncalves (59'), Porro (90+5' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Maritimo
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.06%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vizela
75.06% ( 0.56)	16.05% ( -0.3)	8.89% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 44.88% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92% (

0.52)

41.08% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

0.53)

63.47% (

-0.53)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.67% (

0.27)

9.32% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.55% (

0.63)

31.44% (

-0.63)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.49% (

-0.23)

50.5% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.99% (

-0.15)

85% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 75.05%

Vizela 8.89%

Draw 16.05%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 13.25% 1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.44% Total : 75.05%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 16.05%	0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 8.89%