Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Maritimo |
| 42.36% ( | 27.56% ( | 30.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.35% ( | 57.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.58% ( | 78.41% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( | 26.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( | 62.2% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( | 34.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( | 71.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.08% |