Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Sporting Lisbon

Maritimo
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Winck (55' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Maritimo
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MaritimoDrawSporting Lisbon
14.3% (0.068000000000001 0.07)20.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.58% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)44.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.61% (0.093999999999994 0.09)43.39% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.38% (0.078000000000003 0.08)79.62% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)12.88% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.72% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)39.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 14.3%
    Sporting Lisbon 65.57%
    Draw 20.11%
MaritimoDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.99% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.3%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.11%
0-2 @ 11.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.02% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 4.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 65.57%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Sporting Lisbon

Maritimo
10.8%
Draw
8.1%
Sporting Lisbon
81.1%
37
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Maritimo
Paulinho (1', 15', 31'), Porro (73'), Silva (86' og.)

Liza (60')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Maritimo
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Xadas (5')
Xadas (33'), Costa (52'), Costa (90')
Slimani (38')
Slimani (89'), Vinagre (90+1')
Sep 24, 2021 7pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Maritimo
Porro (90+8' pen.)
Feddal (56'), Neto (60'), Coates (77'), Esgaio (90+2')

China (28'), Victor (56'), Rossi (73'), Pelagio (81'), Mendes (90+3')
Victor (90+4')
May 19, 2021 9.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Maritimo
Goncalves (7', 20', 62'), Karo (21' og.), Plata (75')
Nunes (28'), Coates (46'), Tomas (79')
Beltrame (89')
Jean (65')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Morais (30'), Rene (83')
Goncalves (9', 57')
Pereira (90+3')