Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
52.83% ( 0.21) | 24.05% ( -0.05) | 23.12% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.48% ( 0.06) | 48.52% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.35% ( 0.06) | 70.65% ( -0.05) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( 0.1) | 18.32% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.59% ( 0.17) | 49.41% ( -0.17) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% ( -0.11) | 35.44% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0.11) | 72.2% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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