Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Porto

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 2
Porto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

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Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, January 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Sporting Lisbon vs. Casa Pia
Friday, January 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
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Porto

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Last Game: Porto 2-0 AVS
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Porto vs. Benfica
Wednesday, January 14 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
34.71%27.27%38.01%
Both teams to score 49.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47%55.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29%76.71%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68%30.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5%66.5%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 34.71%
    Porto 38.01%
    Draw 27.27%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.01%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
17.9%
Porto
82.1%
56
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 3
Porto
3-0
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Porto
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Martinez (83')
Evanilson (31')

Porro (89')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')
Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 22
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')
Marchesin (90+10'), Pepe (90+10')
Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 5
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Porto
Santos (16')
Vinagre (3'), Paulinho (14'), Neto (39'), Porro (43'), Cabral (51'), Adan (90+2')
Diaz (71')
Costa (2'), Marcano (4'), Pepe (43'), Manafa (56'), Martinez (85')
Martinez (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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