Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • goal Joao Mario 45'+2'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2023 9.15pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Andre Silva

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2023 8.30pm
Porto 4 - 1 Famalicao
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Mehdi Taremi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.09% (-0.10)
Draw 20.82% (-0.11)
Porto 65.09% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.52% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.59% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 48.41% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 29.45% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 70.55% (-0.21)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 54.16% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 18.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 81.59% (+0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 85.9% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 14.1% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 58.28% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 41.72% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.09%
Draw 20.82%
Porto 65.09%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 3.85% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 14.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.82%
Porto
0-1 @ 12.66% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 12.4% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.1% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.32% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 3.97% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 3.09% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.55% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.09%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 10, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Oscar Estupinan 12' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Janvier 73' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 80' redcard
  • Luis Esteves 88' yellowcard
  • Bruno Duarte 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Rochinha 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otavio 30'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 36'
  • yellowcard Diogo Costa 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Zaidu Sanusi 34' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 39' goal
  • Sergio Oliveira 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 60' goal
  • Wendell 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Amaro 11'
  • goal Marcus Edwards 36'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 42'
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 45'+3'
  • redcard Abdul Mumin 53'
  • yellowcard Falaye Sacko 79'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moussa Marega 49' goal
  • Gideon Mensah 55' yellowcard
  • Moussa Marega 74' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Dec 29, 2020 9.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rochinha 7' goal
  • Gideon Mensah 15' yellowcard
  • Pepelu 26' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 63' goal
  • yellowcard Romario Baro 12'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 42'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 65'
  • goal Luis Diaz 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Bruno Duarte 49' goal
  • goal Douglas Jesus 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ze Luis 44'
  • goal Moussa Marega 60'
  • yellowcard Moussa Marega 61'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2019 6.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão (Porto)
  • Moussa Marega 14' goal
  • Jesus Corona 17' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 32' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcano 71' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcano 88' goal
  • Moussa Marega 93' goal
  • redcard Edmond Tapsoba 1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 12'
  • yellowcard Falaye Sacko 53'
  • yellowcard Davidson 78'
  • redcard Davidson 79'