Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
48.46% ( -0.07) | 26.3% ( 0) | 25.23% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% ( 0.03) | 55.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% ( 0.02) | 76.74% ( -0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% ( -0.02) | 22.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.25% ( -0.03) | 56.75% ( 0.02) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( 0.07) | 37.44% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( 0.07) | 74.22% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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