Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Gil Vicente
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Alipour (40'), Navarro (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silva (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-2 Guimaraes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
48.46% (-0.07 -0.07)26.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)25.23% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.2% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (0.029000000000003 0.03)55.57% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (0.023000000000003 0.02)76.74% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)22.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)56.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (0.07 0.07)37.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.069000000000003 0.07)74.22% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 48.46%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.23%
    Draw 26.3%
Gil VicenteDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.23%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes

Gil Vicente
44.4%
Draw
25.9%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
29.6%
27
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
5-0
Gil Vicente
Estupinan (20'), Lameiras (51'), Janvier (83'), Quaresma (84'), Duarte (90')
Silva (47')
Jan 10, 2022 8.15pm
Gil Vicente
3-2
Guimaraes
Navarro (21', 53'), Leautey (75')
Navarro (32'), Frelih (86')
Luz (79'), Edwards (87' pen.)
Andre (25'), Silva (32'), Edwards (64'), Borevkovic (72')
Edwards (90+1')
Mar 14, 2021 5.30pm
Guimaraes
2-4
Gil Vicente
Rochinha (40'), Lameiras (79')
Fernandes (7'), Suliman (32'), Andre (83')
Mumin (15')
Marques (19'), Lourency (26'), Talocha (45+2' pen.), Silva (80')
Talocha (31'), Nogueira (51'), Ricardo Soares Ribeiro (64'), Silva (90+1')
Nov 1, 2020 5.30pm
Gil Vicente
1-2
Guimaraes
Lino (66')
Fernandes (61')
Duarte (23'), Rochinha (90')
Varela (52'), Luis (82')
Jul 10, 2020 5pm
Guimaraes
1-2
Gil Vicente
Duarte (63')
Suliman (28'), Duarte (70')
Ribeiro (90+3'), Kraev (90+9')