Porto
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 11, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Arouca

Porto
4 - 0
Arouca

Galeno (31'), Martinez (54', 57', 90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Porto and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Porto
Saturday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawArouca
75.2% (0.034999999999997 0.03)15.84% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)8.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.94% (0.439 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.484 0.48)39.85% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (0.5 0.5)62.21% (-0.505 -0.51)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.01% (0.125 0.13)8.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.36% (0.30800000000001 0.31)30.64% (-0.313 -0.31)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.47% (0.411 0.41)49.52% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.67% (0.284 0.28)84.33% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.18%
    Arouca 8.96%
    Draw 15.84%
PortoDrawArouca
2-0 @ 12.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 10.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.12% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 75.18%
1-1 @ 7.54% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.19% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.84%
0-1 @ 3.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.65% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 8.96%

How you voted: Porto vs Arouca

Porto
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Arouca
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
Porto
5-1
Arouca
Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Bruninho (75')
Ruiz (36')
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Arouca
0-2
Porto

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')
Aug 28, 2021 6pm
Porto
3-0
Arouca
Uribe (24'), Taremi (34'), Marcano (63')
Mario (45+2'), Costa (51'), Diaz (59'), Uribe (67')

Miguel Pereira Da Silva (25'), Quaresma Correia (83'), Dabbagh (88')
Mar 10, 2017 8.30pm
Arouca
0-4
Porto

Valente (84'), Jubal (89')
Pereira (15'), Soares (25', 87'), Jota (72')
Pereira (83'), Andre (83')
Oct 22, 2016 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Arouca
Silva (43', 78'), Brahimi (91')

Coelho (31')