Taca da Liga
Dec 10, 2022 8.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio de Ribes
  • goal Alan Ruiz 5'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 69'
  • goal Andre Bukia 82'

UD Oliveirense vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Oliveirense

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Nov 29, 2022 8.45pm
Santa Clara 1 - 1 UD Oliveirense

Arouca

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Dec 4, 2022 5.00pm
Arouca 1 - 1 Leixoes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a UD Oliveirense win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result

UD Oliveirense 22.76% (-0.01)
Draw 24.89% (+0.01)
Arouca 52.35% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.77% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.77% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.23% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.06% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.93% (-0.01)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 0.5 62.16% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.84%
Over 1.5 25.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.61%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 80.06% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.93% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.92% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.08% (-0.01)

Score analysis

UD Oliveirense 22.76%
Draw 24.89%
Arouca 52.34%
UD Oliveirense
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.75%
2-0 @ 3.56%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.89%
Arouca
0-1 @ 12.16%
0-2 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 52.34%