Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 10, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio de Ribes

UD Oliveirense
0 - 3
Arouca

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ruiz (5'), Mujica (69'), Bukia (82')

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between UD Oliveirense and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Oliveirense

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 UD Oliveirense
Tuesday, November 29 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Arouca

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Leixoes
Sunday, December 4 at 5pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a UD Oliveirense win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
UD Oliveirense	Draw	Arouca
22.76% ( -0)	24.89% ( 0)	52.35% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

0.01)

52.23% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

73.93% (

-0)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16% (

37.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.39% (

74.61%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

19.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92% (

0.01)

52.08% (

-0)

Score Analysis

UD Oliveirense 22.76%

Arouca 52.34%

Draw 24.89%

UD Oliveirense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.75% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.76%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 12.16% 0-2 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 52.34%