Arouca
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Feirense

Arouca
1 - 1
Feirense

Mujica (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Teles (48')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Arouca and Feirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, November 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Feirense 0-1 Famalicao
Saturday, July 24 at 5pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Feirense had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Feirense win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawFeirense
52.17% (-0.326 -0.33)26.17% (0.445 0.45)21.66% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 44.91% (-1.333 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.05% (-1.674 -1.67)57.95% (1.674 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (-1.337 -1.34)78.65% (1.338 1.34)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.833 -0.83)22.33% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (-1.266 -1.27)55.8% (1.267 1.27)
Feirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82% (-1.083 -1.08)42.18% (1.084 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41% (-0.947 -0.95)78.59% (0.949 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 52.17%
    Feirense 21.66%
    Draw 26.16%
AroucaDrawFeirense
1-0 @ 14.12% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.42% (0.584 0.58)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.274 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Arouca vs Feirense

Arouca
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Feirense
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2017 4pm
Arouca
2-0
Feirense
Kuca (14' pen., 52')
Dec 4, 2016 4pm
Feirense
0-2
Arouca

Bruno (17'), Flavio (23'), Silva (71'), Aurelio (80')
Nelsinho (52'), Gonzalez (66')
Gonzalez (18'), Jubal (71'), Intima (84')
rhs 2.0


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