Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Porto
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Arouca
  • Otavio 1' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 18' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 34' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 50' goal
  • Jerome Opoku 70' goal
  • goal Bruninho 75'

Porto vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 8.30pm
Boavista 1 - 4 Porto
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Mehdi Taremi

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 6.00pm
Arouca 0 - 1 Rio Ave
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 7.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (11.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Porto 76.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 15.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Arouca 7.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.98% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 44.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 90.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 9.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 67.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 32.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 44.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 55.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 11.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 88.29% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Porto 76.58%
Draw 15.77%
Arouca 7.62%
Porto
2-0 @ 14.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 12.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 11.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 76.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 15.77%
Arouca
0-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 7.62%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Arouca
Feb 6, 2022 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Porto
  • Eboue Kouassi 1' yellowcard
  • Joao Basso 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Pedro Moreira 61' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 68' yellowcard
  • Antony 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Pepe 53'
  • goal Vitinha 54'
  • goal Chancel Mbemba 57'
  • yellowcard Zaidu Sanusi 75'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Porto
Aug 28, 2021 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Arouca
  • Mateus Uribe 24' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 34' goal
  • Joao Mario 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Bruno Costa 51' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 59' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcano 63' goal
  • Mateus Uribe 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Miguel Pereira Da Silva 25'
  • yellowcard Mateus Quaresma Correia 83'
  • yellowcard Oday Dabbagh 88'
Primeira Liga
Arouca
Mar 10, 2017 8.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Porto
  • Nuno Valente 84' yellowcard
  • Jubal 89' yellowcard
  • goal Danilo Pereira 15'
  • goal Francisco Soares 25'
  • goal Diogo Jota 72'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Pereira 83'
  • yellowcard Andre 83'
  • goal Francisco Soares 87'
Primeira Liga
Porto
Oct 22, 2016 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Arouca
  • Andre Silva 43' goal
  • Andre Silva 78' goal
  • Yacine Brahimi 91' goal
  • yellowcard Nuno Coelho 31'
Primeira Liga
Porto
Feb 7, 2016 7.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Arouca
  • Vincent Aboubakar 14' goal
  • Maicon 65' yellowcard
  • goal Walter Gonzalez 1'
  • yellowcard Filho Adilson 45'
  • yellowcard Lima 59'
  • goal Walter Gonzalez 66'
  • yellowcard Walter Gonzalez 66'
  • yellowcard Rafael Bracali 76'
Primeira Liga
Arouca
Sep 12, 2015 8.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Porto
  • David Simao 6' yellowcard
  • Maurides 83' goal
  • goal Jesus Corona 15'
  • yellowcard Miguel Layun 21'
  • yellowcard Yacine Brahimi 23'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcano 35'
  • goal Jesus Corona 61'
  • yellowcard Giannelli Imbula 65'
  • yellowcard Ruben Neves 68'
  • goal Vincent Aboubakar 71'
  • yellowcard Maxi Pereira 80'

Form Data

Porto 2 - 0 Gil Vicente
Porto 4 - 0 Vizela
Chaves 0 - 2 Porto
Porto 2 - 2 Mafra
Boavista 1 - 4 Porto
Mafra 0 - 3 Porto
Moreirense 1 - 2 Arouca
Santa Clara 1 - 2 Arouca
UD Oliveirense 0 - 3 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 1 Leixoes
Arouca 1 - 1 Feirense
Arouca 0 - 1 Rio Ave