Taca da Liga
Dec 22, 2022 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andre Luis 44' goal
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 70'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 79'

Moreirense vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Arouca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result

Moreirense 35.39% (+0.87)
Draw 26.79% (+0.11)
Arouca 37.81% (-0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.43% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 53.57% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 24.92% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 75.07% (+0.29)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 71.07% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 28.93% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 35.19% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 64.81% (-0.46)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 72.51% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 27.48% (+0.71)
Over 1.5 37.01% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 62.98% (+0.93)

Score analysis

Moreirense 35.39%
Draw 26.79%
Arouca 37.8%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 9.86% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 7.9% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.12% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 3.27% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.53% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-96.79)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.95% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.79%
Arouca
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 37.8%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2022 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eboue Kouassi 67' yellowcard
  • Bruninho 79' goal
  • Bruninho 86' yellowcard
  • Arsenio Nunes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Yan 44'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Fabio Pacheco 56'
  • redcard Fabio Pacheco 65'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Walterson Silva 25' yellowcard
  • Walterson Silva 29' goal
  • Steven Vitoria 61' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 64' goal
  • Derik Lacerda 74' yellowcard
  • Felipe Pires 78' yellowcard
  • Kewin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Ba 15'
  • goal Andre Silva 82'
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Apr 30, 2017 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Anderson Luis 16' yellowcard
  • Tomane 30' goal
  • Rafael Crivellaro 45' goal
  • yellowcard Ousmane Drame 32'
  • goal Emmanuel Boateng 46'
  • goal Emmanuel Boateng 58'
  • yellowcard Diego Ivo 89'
Primeira Liga
Dec 17, 2016 6.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ousmane Drame 9' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Boateng 47' goal
  • Pierre Sagna 69' yellowcard
  • goal Jorginho 7'
  • yellowcard Rafael Crivellaro 17'
  • goal Mateus 30'
  • yellowcard Walter Gonzalez 47'
  • goal Jorginho 52'
  • goal Jorginho 83'
  • yellowcard Jose Velasquez 92'
Primeira Liga
Jan 17, 2016 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Simao 16' goal
  • David Simao 37' yellowcard
  • Maurides 69' yellowcard
  • Nuno Cuelho 93' redcard
  • goal Pierre Sagna 24'
  • yellowcard Rafael Martins 77'
  • goal Vitor Gomes 94'
Primeira Liga
Aug 16, 2015 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Oliveira 44' yellowcard
  • Patrick Andrade 58' yellowcard
  • Vitor Gomes 73' yellowcard
  • Alan Schons 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Basto 36'
  • yellowcard Nuno Coelho 52'
  • yellowcard Lucas Alves de Lima 54'
  • goal Nuno Coelho 69'
  • goal Maurides 76'
  • yellowcard Maurides 90'