Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Porto

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Porto

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-1 Arouca
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPorto
11.17% (-0.971 -0.97)20.44% (-0.933 -0.93)68.38% (1.901 1.9)
Both teams to score 39.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8% (1.317 1.32)53.2% (-1.319 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (1.105 1.11)74.76% (-1.108 -1.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.36% (-0.929 -0.93)53.63% (0.92599999999999 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.95% (-0.586 -0.59)87.04% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (1.041 1.04)14.61% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (1.972 1.97)42.71% (-1.973 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 11.17%
    Porto 68.37%
    Draw 20.44%
Casa PiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-1 @ 2.93% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.17%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.44%
0-1 @ 15.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 14.49% (0.31 0.31)
0-3 @ 9.29% (0.525 0.52)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.174 0.17)
0-4 @ 4.47% (0.404 0.4)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.72% (0.211 0.21)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 68.37%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Porto

Casa Pia
3.1%
Draw
6.3%
Porto
90.6%
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