Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
11.17% ( -0.97) | 20.44% ( -0.93) | 68.38% ( 1.9) |
Both teams to score 39.59% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.8% ( 1.32) | 53.2% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( 1.11) | 74.76% ( -1.11) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.36% ( -0.93) | 53.63% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.95% ( -0.59) | 87.04% ( 0.58) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( 1.04) | 14.61% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( 1.97) | 42.71% ( -1.97) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.17% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 14.49% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 9.29% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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