Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 28, 2022 7.00pm
Portimonense 1 - 2 Casa Pia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
Porto 5 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Mehdi Taremi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Casa Pia 11.17% (-0.98)
Draw 20.44% (-0.94)
Porto 68.38% (+1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.59% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.8% (+1.32)
Under 2.5 53.2% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 25.23% (+1.11)
Under 3.5 74.76% (-1.11)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 46.36% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 53.63% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 12.95% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 87.04% (+0.59)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 85.38% (+1.05)
Under 0.5 14.61% (-1.05)
Over 1.5 57.28% (+1.98)
Under 1.5 42.71% (-1.98)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 11.17%
Draw 20.44%
Porto 68.37%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 2.93% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.42)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.44%
Porto
0-1 @ 15.07% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 14.49% (+0.32)
0-3 @ 9.29% (+0.53)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.79% (+0.18)
0-4 @ 4.47% (+0.41)
1-4 @ 2.78% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.72% (+0.22)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-95.53)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 68.37%