Taca da Liga
Dec 11, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Carnejy Antoine 17' goal

Casa Pia vs Trofense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 5.00pm
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Braga

Trofense

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 8.45pm
Trofense 1 - 1 Pacos de Ferreira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Trofense win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result

Casa Pia 66.19% (-0.07)
Draw 21.32% (+0.04)
Trofense 12.49% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.97% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.4% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.6% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 24.9% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 75.1% (+0.07)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 84.55% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 15.44% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 55.71% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 44.29% (+0.10)

Trofense Goals

Over 0.5 48.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 51.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 14.29% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 85.7% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 66.18%
Draw 21.32%
Trofense 12.49%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 14.87% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 13.88% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (+99.00)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 66.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.96% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.32%
Trofense
0-1 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 12.49%