Casa Pia
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 11, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Trofense

Antoine (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Casa Pia and Trofense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga
Saturday, December 3 at 5pm in Taca da Liga

Trofense

All competitions
Last Game: Trofense 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, December 3 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Trofense win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawTrofense
66.19% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)21.32% (0.036000000000001 0.04)12.49% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 40.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)53.6% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)75.1% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)15.44% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)44.29% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Trofense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)85.7% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 66.18%
    Trofense 12.49%
    Draw 21.32%
Casa PiaDrawTrofense
1-0 @ 14.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 66.18%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.27% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 12.49%