Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Famalicao logo

Porto
4 - 1
Famalicao

Galeno (10', 21'), Otavio (42'), Taremi (48')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Fonte (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Famalicao

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Famalicao
Tuesday, January 10 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawFamalicao
75.01% (-0.438 -0.44)16.25% (0.265 0.26)8.74% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 43.49% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (-0.647 -0.65)42.55% (0.64599999999999 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (-0.646 -0.65)64.95% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.29% (-0.271 -0.27)9.7% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.65% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)32.34% (0.631 0.63)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)51.83% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.1% (-0.023 -0.02)85.89% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Porto 75%
    Famalicao 8.74%
    Draw 16.25%
PortoDrawFamalicao
2-0 @ 13.68% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 10.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 6.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.08% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.9% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.9% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 75%
1-1 @ 7.71% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.25%
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.53% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 8.74%

How you voted: Porto vs Famalicao

Porto
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Famalicao
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
3-1
Famalicao
Otavio (25'), Diaz (37'), Taremi (78' pen.)
Uribe (85')
Riccieli (90+1')
Riccieli (38'), Pepe (68'), De La Fuente (80'), Amarildo (90+6')
Aug 15, 2021 6pm
Famalicao
1-2
Porto
Riccieli (56')
Rodrigues (62'), Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (64'), Pepe (74')
Martinez (13', 43')
Costa (62')
Apr 30, 2021 9.15pm
Porto
3-2
Famalicao
Martinez (8'), Taremi (61' pen.), Grujic (75')
Grujic (31')
Rodrigues (44'), Silva (90+1')
Queiros (56'), Figueiras (61'), Assuncao (73')
Jan 8, 2021 9pm
Famalicao
1-4
Porto
Robert (20' pen.)
Queiros (15'), Vana (31'), Assuncao (41'), Riccieli (55'), Morer (90+3')
Taremi (13', 58'), Oliveira (32' pen.), Lopes (89')
Mbemba (12')
Jun 3, 2020 9.15pm
Famalicao
2-1
Porto
Martins (48'), Goncalves (78')
Perez (4'), Martinez (39'), Centelles (63'), Defendi (89')
Corona (74')
Otavio (45+2')
rhs 2.0


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